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California sees small boost in vaccinations but needs much more

With California’s coronavirus surge worsening, officials are unveiling new rules and redoubling efforts to get more people to wear masks in an urgent push to boost vaccinations and slow the spread of the Delta variant.

LOS ANGELES, CA - JULY 27, 2021- Visitors to the Grand Central Market are mostly masked on Tuesday, July 27, 2021 in Los Angeles, CA. (Brian van der Brug / Los Angeles Times)
Los Angeles Times
LOS ANGELES, CA – JULY 27, 2021- Visitors to the Grand Central Market are mostly masked on Tuesday, July 27, 2021 in Los Angeles, CA. (Brian van der Brug / Los Angeles Times)
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With California’s summer coronavirus surge worsening, officials are unveiling new rules, redoubling efforts to get more people to wear masks and even employing some pointed remarks as part of an urgent campaign to boost vaccinations and slow the rapid spread of the highly infectious Delta variant.

The state Wednesday urged everyone — even those fully vaccinated against COVID-19 — to wear masks indoors while in public, ing a renewed national push to increase protection amid an ongoing spike in cases.

But the ultimate goal is to convince those who have not been vaccinated to get their shots, which experts say is vital to reverse the surge.

And there are some early signs of movement among Californians who, to this point, have remained on the fence.

From July 18 to 24, providers throughout the state istered an average of just more than 64,000 vaccines a day — about 3,100 more daily doses than the week before.

At first glance, a 5% increase doesn’t seen that significant. But officials say any uptick is welcome.

“Our sense of urgency to increase vaccination amongst residents remains very high, and we’re glad for any signs of increased vaccination uptake,” L.A. County Public Health Director Barbara Ferrer said.

About 53% of Californians are fully vaccinated against COVID-19.

A bigger slice of the state, about 61%, has received at least one vaccine dose. But officials emphasize that it’s vital for anyone who received their first shot of Pfizer-BioNTech or Moderna to complete their vaccine regimen so they can be as protected as possible.

Getting more people vaccinated remains a challenging — and individualized — puzzle, and health officials have stepped up community clinics, mobile immunization programs and community outreach.

But given the latest resurgence of the coronavirus, some officials are more regularly voicing their frustrations with those who have yet to roll up their sleeves.

Earlier this week, Gov. Gavin Newsom went so far as to compare choosing to remain unvaccinated to driving while drunk.

“We’re at a point in this epidemic, this pandemic, where choice — individuals’ choice not to get vaccinated — is now impacting the rest of us in a profound and devastating and deadly way,” he said.

Like many counties, San Diego is experiencing a marked increase in cases.

Six of the past seven days through Tuesday had case totals greater than 700, and the 14-day rolling positivity rate is 7.1 percent, a new high, according to the county health department’s weekly update released Wednesday. The positivity rate had remained under 2 percent in May, June and the first nine days of July before turning steeply upward.

Despite reaching the 70 percent vaccinated mark among the eligible population in the county’s latest update, the number of people in San Diego County who are fully vaccinated remains just under 2 million, after suring 1.9 million weeks ago.

Local COVID-related hospitalizations are up as well, reaching 269 patients either confirmed or suspected to be infected Tuesday, a number not seen in the county since March.

The county’s weekly update also included a total of 11 additional COVID-related deaths, though the dates of death ranged from Dec. 24 to July 22. Four were in their 80s, two were in their 70s, two were in their 60s, two were in their 50s and one was in their 40s. Ten of the 11 had underlying medical conditions present when they died.

Health officials continue to stress that the vast majority of new infections are being found among those who are unvaccinated.

The story of California’s COVID-19 vaccination campaign has been one of steady rise, followed by precipitous decline.

The number of shots going into Californians’ arms each day, on average, peaked in mid-April at about 400,000. Since then, the pace has fallen off dramatically.

Officials and experts have long said there are numerous reasons someone may have delayed getting vaccinated.

Some may be wary of potential side effects, or been unable to make time in their schedules. Others may have balked due to deep-rooted distrust of government or healthcare agencies stemming from systemic inequities and institutional racism.

And a not insignificant number of people adamantly oppose getting vaccinated, for various personal or political reasons.

Even if the state sustains its current vaccination pace, it will probably take months to fully vaccinate the portion of the population thought necessary to achieve herd immunity — the level at which sustained transmission of the virus is interrupted.

Estimates vary, but experts generally believe between 70% and 85% of the population would need to be vaccinated to achieve long-lasting protection.

California, despite having one of the more robust levels of vaccine coverage in the nation, remains well short of that range.

Over the last week, California has reported a seven-day average of nearly 7,400 new coronavirus cases a day — roughly eight times the rate from four weeks ago.

On Tuesday, 3,565 coronavirus-positive patients were hospitalized statewide, with 770 of them in intensive care.

Both figures have doubled within the last two weeks.

Officials stress that the vast majority of new infections are being found in those who are unvaccinated.

From July 14 to 20, the average coronavirus case rate among unvaccinated Californians was 20.7 per 100,000 people per day — about six times the comparable rate of vaccinated individuals, according to state health officials.

San Diego County has urged even fully vaccinated residents to mask up while in public indoor spaces as an extra precaution to stymie transmission.

State health officials Wednesday urged — but did not mandate — all Californians to do the same.

The new recommendation appears to be more expansive than the latest guidance from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. That agency advised Tuesday that residents wear masks indoors while in public in areas where community transmission is considered substantial or high, the two worst classifications on the agency’s four-tier scale.

Most of California fell into one of those categories as of Wednesday, including the entire southern third of the state. And more than 90% of California’s population lives in areas under one of those designations, according to the state Department of Public Health.

“The Delta variant has caused a sharp increase in hospitalizations and case rates across the state. We are recommending masking in indoor public places to slow the spread while we continue efforts to get more Californians vaccinated,” Dr. Tomás Aragón, director of the California Department of Public Health and state public health officer, said in a statement.

Union-Tribune staff writer Paul Sisson contributed to this report.

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